WON Tip WON Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Obolon
S

Shakhtar Donetsk

Home
W L W L W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-1
O
Obolon
Away
D D L D L
1W 5D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 13th May 2026
1
Backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Shakhtar Donetsk 50%
Draw 30%
Obolon 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon Competition: Ukraine Premier League Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Shakhtar Donetsk to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
10
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
Draws
0
Obolon
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shakhtar Donetsk won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metric
Obolon
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
S0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shakhtar Donetsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Obolon Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Obolon
Overall
2.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.11.25PL
Obolon0
Shakhtar Donetsk6
29.03.25PL
Obolon0
Shakhtar Donetsk2
23.09.24PL
Shakhtar Donetsk4
Obolon0
30.03.24PL
Obolon0
Shakhtar Donetsk3
16.09.23PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Obolon0
20.07.21CF
Shakhtar Donetsk5
Obolon0
27.05.20CF
Obolon0
Shakhtar Donetsk4
23.08.14CUP
Obolon0
Shakhtar Donetsk1
06.11.11PL
Obolon0
Shakhtar Donetsk2
10.07.11PL
Shakhtar Donetsk4
Obolon0
Recent Form
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.05.26PL
SC Poltava0
Shakhtar Donetsk4
W
07.05.26UECL
Crystal Palace2
Shakhtar Donetsk1
L
03.05.26PL
Dyn. Kyiv1
Shakhtar Donetsk2
W
30.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Crystal Palace3
L
26.04.26PL
Kudrivka1
Shakhtar Donetsk3
W
23.04.26PL
FK Zorya Luhansk1
Shakhtar Donetsk2
W
20.04.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Polissya Zhytomyr0
W
16.04.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
13.04.26PL
LNZ Cherkasy2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
09.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
AZ Alkmaar0
W
Obolon
09.05.26PL
Obolon2
Epitsentr2
D
03.05.26PL
Obolon1
Kudrivka1
D
26.04.26PL
Polissya Zhytomyr3
Obolon1
L
17.04.26PL
Obolon1
SC Poltava1
D
11.04.26PL
Veres-Rivne2
Obolon0
L
05.04.26PL
Obolon3
FK Zorya Luhansk3
D
22.03.26PL
Karpaty Lviv4
Obolon0
L
13.03.26PL
Dyn. Kyiv2
Obolon1
L
07.03.26PL
Obolon0
Kryvbas0
D
01.03.26PL
Obolon1
Rukh Lviv0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ukraine Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.22 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?
Our selection is 1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Obolon been performing recently?
Obolon have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shakhtar Donetsk lead with 10 wins versus Obolon's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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