WON Tip WON Al Ahli SC 5-0 Al Riyadh
A

Al Ahli SC

Home
L L W W W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
5-0
7:00 pm
King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)
A
Al Riyadh
Away
W D L W L
4W 3D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 4th September 2026
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Al Ahli SC
1
Draws
2
Al Riyadh
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Ahli SC won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahli SC
Metric
Al Riyadh
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
A2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
A3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.5%) 1-0(7.3%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahli SC
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.0
Al Riyadh
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.02.26SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC1
30.10.25SPL
Al Ahli SC1
Al Riyadh1
26.05.25SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC1
26.01.25SPL
Al Ahli SC5
Al Riyadh0
30.07.24CF
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC2
25.04.24SPL
Al Riyadh2
Al Ahli SC1
05.11.23SPL
Al Ahli SC3
Al Riyadh0
12.03.23DIV
Al Ahli SC0
Al Riyadh2
16.10.22DIV
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC2
05.01.19KC
Al Ahli SC4
Al Riyadh0
Recent Form
Al Ahli SC
01.09.26SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Ahli SC0
L
29.08.26SPL
Al Kholood3
Al Ahli SC1
L
26.08.26FIC
Al Ahli SC1
Auckland FC0
W
22.08.26SPL
Al Ahli SC4
Abha0
W
17.08.26KC
Al Anwar1
Al Ahli SC2
W
13.08.26SPL
Al Diriyah0
Al Ahli SC1
W
28.07.26CF
Al Ahli SC1
Fulham1
D
28.07.26CF
Portimonense2
Al Ahli SC0
L
24.07.26CF
Al Ahli SC1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
L
19.07.26CF
Rio Ave2
Al Ahli SC2
D
Al Riyadh
28.08.26SPL
Al Riyadh1
Neom SC0
W
25.08.26SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Riyadh3
D
21.08.26SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Nassr4
L
17.08.26KC
Al Zulfi0
Al Riyadh2
W
14.08.26SPL
Al Ettifaq4
Al Riyadh2
L
27.07.26CF
Al Riyadh2
Al-Gharafa2
D
21.05.26SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Okhdood0
W
15.05.26SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Riyadh1
D
10.05.26SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Fateh0
W
04.05.26SPL
Al Fayha4
Al Riyadh2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.30, which our model rates near 47%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Riyadh?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Al Ahli SC's current form?
Al Ahli SC have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Riyadh been performing recently?
Al Riyadh have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahli SC lead with 7 wins versus Al Riyadh's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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