WON Tip WON San Lorenzo W 2-0 Gimnasia L.P. W
S

San Lorenzo W

Home
W W D L D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
9:00 pm
Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires)
G
Gimnasia L.P. W
Away
L L L L L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 4th September 2026
1
Backing San Lorenzo W to win
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
San Lorenzo W
4
Draws
0
Gimnasia L.P. W
9
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Neutral San Lorenzo W won 5 of the last 9 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
San Lorenzo W
Metric
Gimnasia L.P. W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
S0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.4%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
San Lorenzo W
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.7
Gimnasia L.P. W
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.05.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo4
05.09.25PA
Gimnasia L.P. W0
San Lorenzo0
16.03.25PA
San Lorenzo W1
Gimnasia L.P.1
18.08.24PA
San Lorenzo W2
Gimnasia L.P.1
23.03.24PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo1
19.06.23PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo1
05.08.22PA
San Lorenzo W2
Gimnasia L.P.0
22.08.21PA
Gimnasia L.P. W2
San Lorenzo6
03.04.21PA
San Lorenzo W3
Gimnasia L.P.0
Recent Form
San Lorenzo W
30.08.26PA
Newells Old Boys W0
San Lorenzo W4
W
24.08.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
Racing Club W0
W
17.08.26PA
Social Atletico Television W0
San Lorenzo W0
D
10.08.26PA
Talleres Cordoba W2
San Lorenzo W1
L
03.08.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Ferro W2
D
27.07.26PA
Boca Juniors W1
San Lorenzo W2
W
22.07.26PA
Lanus W1
San Lorenzo W0
L
13.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
San Luis W0
W
08.07.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W1
San Lorenzo W2
W
04.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
W
Gimnasia L.P. W
30.08.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
Talleres Cordoba W2
L
24.08.26PA
Ferro W2
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
16.08.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W0
Boca Juniors W2
L
08.08.26PA
Lanus W1
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
02.08.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Luis W2
L
27.07.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W2
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
17.07.26PA
Independiente W0
Gimnasia L.P. W2
W
13.07.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W2
Huracan W1
W
08.07.26PA
Belgrano W2
Gimnasia L.P. W1
L
04.07.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W4
River Plate W2
W
San Lorenzo W (Home)
24.08.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
Racing Club W0
W
03.08.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Ferro W2
D
13.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
San Luis W0
W
04.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
W
19.06.26PA
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
D
22.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
W
08.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
W
24.04.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
W
27.03.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Talleres Cordoba W0
W
13.03.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
Boca Juniors W1
D
Gimnasia L.P. W (Away)
24.08.26PA
Ferro W2
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
08.08.26PA
Lanus W1
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
27.07.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W2
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
17.07.26PA
Independiente W0
Gimnasia L.P. W2
W
08.07.26PA
Belgrano W2
Gimnasia L.P. W1
L
27.06.26PA
Banfield W2
Gimnasia L.P. W2
D
23.05.26PA
Racing Club W4
Gimnasia L.P. W1
L
11.05.26PA
Talleres Cordoba W2
Gimnasia L.P. W0
L
25.04.26PA
Boca Juniors W0
Gimnasia L.P. W1
W
22.03.26PA
San Luis W2
Gimnasia L.P. W2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.33, which our model rates near roughly 58. The fixture starts at 9:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for San Lorenzo W vs Gimnasia L.P. W?
Our selection is 1 — San Lorenzo W to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is San Lorenzo W's current form?
San Lorenzo W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gimnasia L.P. W been performing recently?
Gimnasia L.P. W have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
San Lorenzo W lead with 5 wins versus Gimnasia L.P. W's 0, with 4 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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