WON Tip WON BE1 NFA 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris 2
B

BE1 NFA

Home
W W W L L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
4:30 pm
N/A
K
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Away
W W L W L
3W 1D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 4th September 2026
1
Backing BE1 NFA to win
Implied Prob 65.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
BE1 NFA
1
Draws
1
Kauno Zalgiris 2
7
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
14%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip BE1 NFA won 5 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
BE1 NFA
Metric
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
B0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
B2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.8%) 2-1(9.0%) 2-0(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
BE1 NFA
Overall
6.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
05.10.25IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA4
01.06.25IL
BE1 NFA1
Kauno Zalgiris 21
30.08.24IL
BE1 NFA2
Kauno Zalgiris 20
05.04.24IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA2
08.10.23IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
19.05.23IL
BE1 NFA0
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Recent Form
BE1 NFA
29.08.26IL
Ekranas0
BE1 NFA5
W
21.08.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Garliava0
W
14.08.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
08.08.26IL
FK Minija3
BE1 NFA0
L
31.07.26IL
BE1 NFA0
Jonava2
L
26.07.26IL
BFA Vilnius3
BE1 NFA1
L
01.07.26IL
Atmosfera0
BE1 NFA1
W
26.06.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Zalgiris 21
W
19.06.26IL
Babrungas1
BE1 NFA0
L
12.06.26IL
BE1 NFA1
Tauras Taurage0
W
Kauno Zalgiris 2
29.08.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 23
Hegelmann Litauen 20
W
14.08.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Jonava1
W
10.08.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
01.08.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 23
Atmosfera1
W
24.07.26IL
Tauras Taurage4
Kauno Zalgiris 22
L
19.07.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Babrungas2
L
28.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BFA Vilnius1
L
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
18.06.26IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
12.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus2
L
BE1 NFA (Home)
21.08.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Garliava0
W
14.08.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
31.07.26IL
BE1 NFA0
Jonava2
L
26.06.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Zalgiris 21
W
12.06.26IL
BE1 NFA1
Tauras Taurage0
W
08.05.26IL
BE1 NFA5
Siauliai 22
W
24.04.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Ekranas1
W
22.03.26IL
BE1 NFA2
FK Minija3
L
13.03.26IL
BE1 NFA3
BFA Vilnius1
W
31.10.25IL
BE1 NFA3
Siauliai 20
W
Kauno Zalgiris 2 (Away)
10.08.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
24.07.26IL
Tauras Taurage4
Kauno Zalgiris 22
L
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
18.06.26IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
W
15.05.26IL
Garliava3
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
04.04.26IL
Jonava3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
18.03.26IL
Atmosfera2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.52, which our model rates near 48%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for BE1 NFA vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — BE1 NFA to win, priced at approximately 1.52. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is BE1 NFA's current form?
BE1 NFA have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Kauno Zalgiris 2 have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
BE1 NFA lead with 5 wins versus Kauno Zalgiris 2's 1, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
⚠️
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