WON Tip WON Stuttgart 4-1 Koln
S

Stuttgart

Home
L W L W D
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
4-1
7:30 pm
MHPArena (Stuttgart)
K
Koln
Away
W W W D W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 4th September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 65.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +8.2% Value detected
Kelly % 24% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals90% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Stuttgart vs Koln Date: Friday, 4th September 2026 KO: 7:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.52 Confidence: 74% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Stuttgart
2
Draws
2
Koln
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Stuttgart
Metric
Koln
3.2
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
50%
40%
4.5
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
S0
0-0 1.2%
0-1 2.2%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 3.0%
1-1 5.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.6%
S2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.2%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
S3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 5.8%
3-3 3.7%
3-4 1.8%
3-5 0.7%
S4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 3.7%
4-3 2.4%
4-4 1.1%
4-5 0.4%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 1.9%
5-3 1.2%
5-4 0.6%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.2%) 2-2(6.9%) 3-1(6.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Stuttgart
Overall
5.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.0
Koln
Overall
4.9
Scoring
7.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.02.26BUN
Stuttgart3
FC Koln1
28.09.25BUN
FC Koln1
Stuttgart2
24.02.24BUN
Stuttgart1
FC Koln1
30.09.23BUN
FC Koln0
Stuttgart2
18.02.23BUN
Stuttgart3
FC Koln0
19.11.22CF
FC Koln2
Stuttgart4
28.08.22BUN
FC Koln0
Stuttgart0
14.05.22BUN
Stuttgart2
FC Koln1
19.12.21BUN
FC Koln1
Stuttgart0
27.10.21POK
Stuttgart0
FC Koln2
Recent Form
Stuttgart
28.08.26BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
L
21.08.26POK
Hansa Rostock0
Stuttgart4
W
15.08.26CF
Fulham1
Stuttgart0
L
08.08.26CF
Stuttgart3
Everton1
W
01.08.26CF
Stuttgart2
Paris FC2
D
29.07.26CF
Offenbach1
Stuttgart8
W
25.07.26CF
Hollenbach0
Stuttgart5
W
19.07.26CF
Balingen0
Stuttgart7
W
23.05.26POK
Bayern Munich3
Stuttgart0
L
16.05.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt2
Stuttgart2
D
Koln
29.08.26BUN
FC Koln3
Hoffenheim2
W
24.08.26POK
Wurzburger Kickers1
FC Koln2
W
08.08.26CF
FC Koln2
Real Sociedad1
W
31.07.26CF
FC Koln2
Hertha Berlin2
D
23.07.26CF
Bergisch Gladbach0
FC Koln8
W
16.05.26BUN
Bayern Munich5
FC Koln1
L
10.05.26BUN
FC Koln1
Heidenheim3
L
02.05.26BUN
Union Berlin2
FC Koln2
D
25.04.26BUN
FC Koln1
Bayer Leverkusen2
L
17.04.26BUN
St. Pauli1
FC Koln1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into MHPArena (Stuttgart). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 2.5 at @1.52, which our model rates near 77%. The fixture starts at 7:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stuttgart vs Koln?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.52. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Stuttgart's current form?
Stuttgart have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Koln been performing recently?
Koln have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stuttgart lead with 6 wins versus Koln's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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