LOST Tip LOST Al-Merreikh 0-0 Rutsiro
A

Al-Merreikh

Home
W D W D W
4W 6D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
0-0
R
Rutsiro
Away
L L D D W
1W 4D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 4th April 2026
1
Backing Al-Merreikh to win
Al-Merreikh 50%
Draw 30%
Rutsiro 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -32.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al-Merreikh to win
1.41
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al-Merreikh vs Rutsiro Competition: Rwanda Premier League Date: Saturday, 4th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al-Merreikh to win) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 38% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (75%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Al-Merreikh
1
Draws
0
Rutsiro
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al-Merreikh won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al-Merreikh
Metric
Rutsiro
0
Goals For / Game
0.9
0
Goals Against / Game
1.2
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-6-0
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
40%
10%
1.1
Avg Goals
25%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
A0
0-0 35.0%
0-1 15.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 21.0%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 2.1%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 2.8%
2-2 0.6%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(21.0%) 2-0(6.3%) 2-1(2.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al-Merreikh Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rutsiro Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al-Merreikh
Overall
5.8
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Rutsiro
Overall
2.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 38%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 38%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.12.25
Rwanda Premier League: Rutsiro FC0
Al Merrikh SC1
Recent Form
Al-Merreikh
19.03.26
PL: Al Merrikh SC3
A.S. Muhanga0
W
16.03.26
PL: Rayon Sports0
Al Merrikh SC0
D
09.03.26
PL: Police F.C.0
Al Merrikh SC1
W
27.02.26
PL: Al Merrikh SC1
Gasogi United1
D
22.02.26
PL: AS Kigali0
Al Merrikh SC1
W
17.02.26
PL: Al-Hilal S.C.1
Al Merrikh SC2
W
13.02.26
PL: Musanze FC1
Al Merrikh SC1
D
08.02.26
PL: Marines FC1
Al Merrikh SC1
D
21.01.26
PL: Al Merrikh SC2
Rayon Sports2
D
18.01.26
PL: APR F.C.0
Al Merrikh SC0
D
Rutsiro
28.03.26
PL: Rutsiro FC1
Al-Hilal S.C.2
L
22.03.26
PL: Rutsiro FC0
S.C. Kiyovu Sports1
L
14.03.26
PL: Rutsiro FC0
Etincelles F.C.0
D
07.03.26
PL: Gasogi United0
Rutsiro FC0
D
28.02.26
PL: Rutsiro FC5
Marines FC3
W
25.02.26
PL: Rutsiro FC0
Police F.C.0
D
21.02.26
PL: A.S. Muhanga2
Rutsiro FC1
L
06.02.26
PL: Gorilla FC2
Rutsiro FC1
L
09.01.26
PL: AS Kigali0
Rutsiro FC0
D
04.01.26
PL: Rutsiro FC1
Mukura Victory Sports2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 4th April 2026, Al-Merreikh host Rutsiro in Rwanda Premier League. We recommend Al-Merreikh to win as the standout selection.

Al-Merreikh arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rutsiro are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al-Merreikh, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Rutsiro's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al-merreikh to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Rwanda Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.41 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al-Merreikh vs Rutsiro?
Our selection is 1 — Al-Merreikh to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Al-Merreikh's current form?
Al-Merreikh have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rutsiro been performing recently?
Rutsiro have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al-Merreikh lead with 0 wins versus Rutsiro's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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