WON Tip WON Skenderbeu 1-0 Lliria Fushe-Kruje
S

Skenderbeu

Home
D W D W W
7W 3D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
L
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
Away
D L W D D
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 4th April 2026
1
Backing Skenderbeu to win
Skenderbeu 50%
Draw 30%
Lliria Fushe-Kruje 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -31.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Skenderbeu to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Skenderbeu vs Lliria Fushe-Kruje Competition: Albania Kategoria E Pare Date: Saturday, 4th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Skenderbeu to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 43% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — No (100%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Skenderbeu
5
Draws
0
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
5
Meetings
4.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Skenderbeu won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Skenderbeu
Metric
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-3-0
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
70%
40%
0
Avg Goals
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
S0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.4%) 2-0(1.3%) 2-1(0.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Skenderbeu Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lliria Fushe-Kruje Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Skenderbeu
Overall
7.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
Overall
5.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 48%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.12.25
Kategoria e Parë: KF Iliria0
KF Skënderbeu2
19.11.25
Albanian Cup: KF Skënderbeu4
KF Iliria2
12.09.25
Kategoria e Parë: KF Skënderbeu2
KF Iliria0
06.11.13
Albanian Cup: KF Skënderbeu8
KF Iliria0
23.10.13
Albanian Cup: KF Iliria1
KF Skënderbeu3
Recent Form
Skenderbeu
28.03.26
KP: AF Elbasani1
Skënderbeu1
D
22.03.26
KP: KF Besa Kavajë0
Skënderbeu1
W
18.03.26
KP: Skënderbeu0
Korabi Peshkopi0
D
14.03.26
KP: Apolonia Fier0
Skënderbeu1
W
07.03.26
KP: Skënderbeu2
KF Lushnja0
W
01.03.26
KP: AF Luftëtari0
Skënderbeu3
W
21.02.26
KP: Skënderbeu2
FK Kukësi1
W
14.02.26
KP: Skënderbeu3
Apolonia Fier2
W
07.02.26
KP: Korabi Peshkopi0
Skënderbeu0
D
30.01.26
KP: Skënderbeu2
KS Kastrioti1
W
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
22.03.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
KF Laçi1
D
18.03.26
KP: KS Pogradeci3
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0
L
14.03.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
KS Kastrioti0
W
07.03.26
KP: KS Burreli0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0
D
01.03.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
FK Kukësi1
D
22.02.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
KF Besa Kavajë0
W
15.02.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë2
KF Lushnja1
W
08.02.26
KP: KS Burreli1
Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
D
31.01.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë2
Apolonia Fier0
W
24.01.26
KP: Korabi Peshkopi2
Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 4th April 2026, Skenderbeu host Lliria Fushe-Kruje in Albania Kategoria E Pare. We recommend Skenderbeu to win as the standout selection.

Skenderbeu arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lliria Fushe-Kruje are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Skenderbeu, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Lliria Fushe-Kruje's 0, with 5 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: skenderbeu to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Albania Kategoria E Pare fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.35 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Skenderbeu vs Lliria Fushe-Kruje?
Our selection is 1 — Skenderbeu to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Skenderbeu's current form?
Skenderbeu have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lliria Fushe-Kruje been performing recently?
Lliria Fushe-Kruje have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Skenderbeu lead with 0 wins versus Lliria Fushe-Kruje's 0, with 5 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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