LOST Tip LOST Shkendija 1-2 Pelister
S

Shkendija

Home
W W W D W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
1-2
P
Pelister
Away
L D L D L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 4th April 2026
1
Backing Shkendija to win
Shkendija 60%
Draw 20%
Pelister 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -37.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shkendija to win
1.18
Under 2.5 Goals85% BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shkendija vs Pelister Competition: North Macedonia 1. MFL Date: Saturday, 4th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Shkendija to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 47% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Shkendija
9
Draws
1
Pelister
10
Meetings
1.8
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Shkendija won 0 of the last 10 meetings (9 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shkendija
Metric
Pelister
0
Goals For / Game
0.7
0
Goals Against / Game
1.1
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
0.9
Avg Goals
25%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
S0
0-0 40.7%
0-1 14.2%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 22.4%
1-1 7.8%
1-2 1.4%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 2.2%
2-2 0.4%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 0.4%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(22.4%) 2-0(6.2%) 2-1(2.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shkendija Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Pelister Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shkendija
Overall
7.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Pelister
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 56%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 60%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 2%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.03.26
1. MFL: KF Shkëndija2
FK Pelister1
06.10.25
1. MFL: FK Pelister0
KF Shkëndija0
09.03.25
1. MFL: KF Shkëndija1
FK Pelister0
24.11.24
1. MFL: FK Pelister0
KF Shkëndija1
31.08.24
1. MFL: KF Shkëndija2
FK Pelister0
06.04.22
1. MFL: FK Pelister0
KF Shkëndija2
05.12.21
1. MFL: KF Shkëndija2
FK Pelister1
28.08.21
1. MFL: FK Pelister2
KF Shkëndija2
14.03.21
1. MFL: KF Shkëndija1
FK Pelister0
16.12.20
1. MFL: KF Shkëndija0
FK Pelister1
Recent Form
Shkendija
21.03.26
1ML: Makedonija GjP0
Shkëndija1
W
18.03.26
CUP: FC Struga2
(ET) Shkëndija3
W
15.03.26
1ML: Shkëndija1
KF Arsimi0
W
09.03.26
1ML: Shkëndija1
Brera Strumica1
D
05.03.26
1ML: FK Vardar0
Shkëndija1
W
02.03.26
1ML: Shkëndija2
FK Pelister1
W
26.02.26
UECL: Samsunspor4
Shkëndija0
L
22.02.26
1ML: FK Sileks1
Shkëndija2
W
19.02.26
UECL: Shkëndija0
Samsunspor1
L
14.02.26
1ML: GFK Tikvesh1
Shkëndija4
W
Pelister
22.03.26
1ML: FK Pelister0
FC Struga2
L
16.03.26
1ML: FK Sileks0
FK Pelister0
D
08.03.26
1ML: GFK Tikvesh1
FK Pelister0
L
05.03.26
1ML: FK Pelister0
FK Sileks0
D
02.03.26
1ML: KF Shkëndija2
FK Pelister1
L
21.02.26
1ML: FK Pelister1
FC Struga1
D
17.02.26
1ML: KF Bashkimi1
FK Pelister0
L
12.02.26
1ML: FK Pelister4
FK Rabotnički1
W
30.01.26
Friendly: FK Pelister0
Pakhtakor1
L
28.01.26
Friendly: Navbahor Namangan2
FK Pelister1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming North Macedonia 1. MFL fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market.

Let’s look at the hosts first. Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer.

A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline. The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today.

History cannot be swept under the rug, either. Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash.

With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious. Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over.

It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint. Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shkendija vs Pelister?
Our selection is 1 — Shkendija to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Shkendija's current form?
Shkendija have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pelister been performing recently?
Pelister have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shkendija lead with 0 wins versus Pelister's 1, with 9 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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