WON Tip WON Al Nassr 1-0 Neom SC

Al Nassr

Home

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Steady

1-0

Neom SC

Away

L D W L W

2W 1D 2L ▲ Improving

Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -3.3% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Nassr to win

1.23

BTTS — No70% Al Nassr Clean Sheet80%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Al Nassr vs Neom SC Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Saturday, 7th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Nassr to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 78% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Al Nassr Clean Sheet (80%)

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Head to Head

Record

Al Nassr

Draws

Neom SC

Meetings

Avg Goals

100%

BTTS

100%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Al Nassr won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Al Nassr

Metric

Neom SC

Goals For / Game

0.8

0.2

Goals Against / Game

0.8

80%

Clean Sheets

40%

5-0-0

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

100%

40%

2.4

Avg Goals

60%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 4.5%

0-2 1.1%

0-3 0.2%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 17.2%

1-1 8.6%

1-2 2.2%

1-3 0.4%

1-4 0.0%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 16.4%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 2.1%

2-3 0.3%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 10.4%

3-1 5.2%

3-2 1.3%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.9%

4-1 2.5%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.9%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(17.2%) 2-0(16.4%) 3-0(10.4%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓ N=Away →

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Team Ratings

Grades

Al Nassr

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

9.3 —

Neom SC

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

7.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Home Win & BTTS No 47%

Draw & BTTS Yes 2%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 27%

Home Win & Under 2.5 40%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 10%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ SPL (Nov 8, 2025): Neom SC1

Al Nassr3

Recent Form

Al Nassr

⚽ SPL (Feb 28, 2026): Al Fayha1

Al Nassr3

⚽ SPL (Feb 25, 2026): Al Najma0

Al Nassr5

⚽ SPL (Feb 21, 2026): Al Nassr4

Al Hazem0

⚽ CL2 (Feb 18, 2026): Al Nassr1

Arkadag0

⚽ SPL (Feb 14, 2026): Al Fateh0

Al Nassr2

Neom SC

⚽ SPL (Feb 28, 2026): Neom SC1

Al Kholood2

⚽ SPL (Feb 25, 2026): Al Fayha1

Neom SC1

⚽ SPL (Feb 21, 2026): Al Khaleej0

Neom SC1

⚽ SPL (Feb 12, 2026): Al Qadsiah1

Neom SC0

⚽ SPL (Feb 6, 2026): Neom SC1

Al Riyadh0

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Saturday, 7th March 2026, Al Nassr host Neom SC in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Nassr to win as the standout selection.

Al Nassr arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Neom SC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Nassr, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al nassr to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Our selection is 1 — Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 78%.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Neom SC been performing recently?

Neom SC have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Nassr lead with 1 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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