WON Tip WON Trefelin 4-0 Aberystwyth
T

Trefelin

Home
W W W W W
5W 0D 0L → Steady
VS
4-0
A
Aberystwyth
Away
L L W W W
3W 0D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 7th March 2026
1
Backing Trefelin to win
Trefelin 50%
Draw 30%
Aberystwyth 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Trefelin to win
1.33
BTTS — No70% Trefelin Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Trefelin vs Aberystwyth Competition: Wales Cymru South Date: Saturday, 7th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Trefelin to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 68% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Trefelin Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Trefelin
0
Draws
0
Aberystwyth
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Trefelin won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Trefelin
Metric
Aberystwyth
2.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
80%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-0-0
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate
100%
60%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
T0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 16.3%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 2.9%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 14.7%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 8.8%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.3%) 2-0(14.7%) 2-1(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Trefelin Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Aberystwyth Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Trefelin
Overall
10.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.3
Aberystwyth
Overall
6.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 44%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ FAW (Nov 8, 2025): Aberystwyth0
Trefelin2
Recent Form
Trefelin
⚽ FAW (Mar 4, 2026): Trefelin3
Cardiff Draconians1
⚽ FAW (Feb 28, 2026): Llantwit Major0
Trefelin1
⚽ FAW (Feb 20, 2026): Trefelin2
Ynyshir Albions0
⚽ FAW (Feb 17, 2026): Trefelin3
Baglan Dragons0
⚽ FAW (Feb 13, 2026): Carmarthen Town0
Trefelin2
Aberystwyth
⚽ FAW (Mar 1, 2026): Aberystwyth0
Caerau Ely4
⚽ FAW (Feb 24, 2026): Ammanford2
Aberystwyth1
⚽ FAW (Feb 14, 2026): Aberystwyth2
Treowen1
⚽ FAW (Feb 7, 2026): Baglan Dragons0
Aberystwyth1
⚽ FAW (Jan 31, 2026): Newport City0
Aberystwyth1
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Trefelin vs Aberystwyth?
Our selection is 1 — Trefelin to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Trefelin's current form?
Trefelin have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Aberystwyth been performing recently?
Aberystwyth have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Trefelin lead with 1 wins versus Aberystwyth's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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