LOST Tip LOST Wrexham 2-2 Chelsea

Wrexham

Home

W W W D W

4W 1D 0L ▼ Declining

2-2

Chelsea

Away

W L D W D

2W 2D 1L → Steady

Wrexham 30%

Draw 20%

Chelsea 50%

H Fair Odds 3.33

D Fair Odds 5

A Fair Odds 2

Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -23.9% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Chelsea to win

1.41

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Wrexham vs Chelsea Competition: FA Cup Date: Saturday, 7th March 2026 Pick: 2 (Chelsea to win) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)

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Head to Head

Record

Wrexham

Draws

Chelsea

Meetings

4.5

Avg Goals

50%

BTTS

100%

Over 2.5

Neutral Chelsea won 1 of 2 meetings.

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Wrexham

Metric

Chelsea

2.2

Goals For / Game

2.4

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.2

40%

Clean Sheets

20%

4-1-0

W — D — L

2-2-1

Win Rate

80%

40%

3.5

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

70%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 3.0%

0-1 5.4%

0-2 4.9%

0-3 2.9%

0-4 1.3%

0-5 0.5%

1-0 5.1%

1-1 9.2%

1-2 8.3%

1-3 5.0%

1-4 2.3%

1-5 0.8%

2-0 4.4%

2-1 7.9%

2-2 7.1%

2-3 4.2%

2-4 1.9%

2-5 0.7%

3-0 2.5%

3-1 4.5%

3-2 4.0%

3-3 2.4%

3-4 1.1%

3-5 0.4%

4-0 1.1%

4-1 1.9%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 1.0%

4-4 0.5%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Scores 1-2(8.3%) 0-1(5.4%) 1-3(5.0%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓ C=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Wrexham Win

30%

3.33

Draw

20%

Chelsea Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Wrexham

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

7.3 —

Defence

6.0 —

Chelsea

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

8.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%

Home Win & BTTS No 16%

Draw & BTTS Yes 14%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 37%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 6%

Away Win & Over 2.5 19%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ CF (Jul 25, 2024): Chelsea2

Wrexham2

⚽ CF (Jul 20, 2023): Chelsea5

Wrexham0

Recent Form

Wrexham

⚽ CHA (Feb 28, 2026): Charlton0

Wrexham1

⚽ CHA (Feb 24, 2026): Wrexham2

Portsmouth1

⚽ CHA (Feb 21, 2026): Wrexham5

Ipswich3

⚽ CHA (Feb 17, 2026): Bristol City2

Wrexham2

⚽ FAC (Feb 13, 2026): Wrexham1

Ipswich0

Chelsea

⚽ PL (Mar 4, 2026): Aston Villa1

Chelsea4

⚽ PL (Mar 1, 2026): Arsenal2

Chelsea1

⚽ PL (Feb 21, 2026): Chelsea1

Burnley1

⚽ FAC (Feb 13, 2026): Hull0

Chelsea4

⚽ PL (Feb 10, 2026): Chelsea2

Leeds2

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Wrexham vs Chelsea?

Our selection is 2 — Chelsea to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 47%.

What is Wrexham's current form?

Wrexham have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Chelsea been performing recently?

Chelsea have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Wrexham lead with 0 wins versus Chelsea's 1, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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