WON Tip WON Esperance Tunis 1-0 AS Marsa

Esperance Tunis

Home

W D W W W

3W 1D 1L → Steady

1-0

AS Marsa

Away

L W L L W

2W 0D 3L → Steady

Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -19% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Esperance Tunis to win

1.19

BTTS — No80% Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet60%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa Competition: Tunisian League Date: Saturday, 7th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Esperance Tunis to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 65% Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet (60%)

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Head to Head

Record

Esperance Tunis

Draws

AS Marsa

Meetings

1.4

Avg Goals

BTTS

20%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Esperance Tunis won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Esperance Tunis

Metric

AS Marsa

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.8

0.4

Goals Against / Game

1.4

60%

Clean Sheets

40%

3-1-1

W — D — L

2-0-3

Win Rate

60%

40%

2.2

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

20%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 11.1%

0-1 6.7%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 17.7%

1-1 10.6%

1-2 3.2%

1-3 0.6%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 14.2%

2-1 8.5%

2-2 2.6%

2-3 0.5%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 7.6%

3-1 4.5%

3-2 1.4%

3-3 0.3%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 3.0%

4-1 1.8%

4-2 0.5%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(17.7%) 2-0(14.2%) 2-1(8.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Team Ratings

Grades

Esperance Tunis

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

8.7 —

AS Marsa

Overall

4.0 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

5.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Home Win & BTTS No 44%

Draw & BTTS Yes 2%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 29%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 22%

Home Win & Under 2.5 33%

Draw & Over 2.5 4%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 14%

Away Win & Under 2.5 22%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ LP1 (Oct 1, 2025): AS Marsa0

Esperance Tunis3

⚽ LP1 (Dec 5, 2023): AS Marsa0

Esperance Tunis1

⚽ LP1 (Aug 19, 2023): Esperance Tunis1

AS Marsa0

⚽ CUP (Mar 15, 2020): AS Marsa0

Esperance Tunis2

⚽ LP1 (Dec 10, 2016): Esperance Tunis0

AS Marsa0

Recent Form

Esperance Tunis

⚽ LP1 (Mar 1, 2026): Olympique Beja0

Esperance Tunis3

⚽ LP1 (Feb 25, 2026): Metlaoui1

Esperance Tunis1

⚽ LP1 (Feb 21, 2026): Esperance Tunis1

Stade Tunisien0

⚽ LP1 (Feb 17, 2026): Soliman0

Esperance Tunis3

⚽ CL (Feb 14, 2026): Esperance Tunis2

Petro Atletico0

AS Marsa

⚽ LP1 (Feb 28, 2026): AS Marsa0

Stade Tunisien4

⚽ LP1 (Feb 14, 2026): Soliman0

AS Marsa2

⚽ LP1 (Feb 7, 2026): AS Marsa1

JS Kairouan2

⚽ LP1 (Feb 1, 2026): Monastir1

AS Marsa0

⚽ LP1 (Jan 28, 2026): AS Marsa1

AS Gabes0

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa?

Our selection is 1 — Esperance Tunis to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 65%.

What is Esperance Tunis's current form?

Esperance Tunis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has AS Marsa been performing recently?

AS Marsa have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Esperance Tunis lead with 4 wins versus AS Marsa's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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