WON Tip WON Ammanford 1-0 Baglan Dragons
A

Ammanford

Home
W W L W D
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
B
Baglan Dragons
Away
L L W L L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 20th March 2026
1
Backing Ammanford to win
Ammanford 50%
Draw 30%
Baglan Dragons 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ammanford to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons Competition: Wales Cymru South Date: Friday, 20th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Ammanford to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Ammanford
2
Draws
0
Baglan Dragons
5
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ammanford won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ammanford
Metric
Baglan Dragons
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
A0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 10.6%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ammanford Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Baglan Dragons Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ammanford
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.3
Baglan Dragons
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.11.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons0
Ammanford3
12.04.25
FAW: Ammanford1
Baglan Dragons1
18.08.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons0
Ammanford2
17.02.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons1
Ammanford3
08.12.23
FAW: Ammanford2
Baglan Dragons2
Recent Form
Ammanford
14.03.26
FAW: Llantwit Major2
Ammanford3
W
06.03.26
FAW: Ammanford2
Cardiff Draconians1
W
01.03.26
FAW: Afan Lido3
Ammanford1
L
24.02.26
FAW: Ammanford2
Aberystwyth1
W
13.02.26
FAW: Ammanford0
Trethomas Bluebirds0
D
07.02.26
FAW: Caerau Ely3
Ammanford1
L
23.01.26
FAW: Ammanford0
Trefelin4
L
09.01.26
FAW: Pontypridd0
Ammanford3
W
03.01.26
FAW: Ammanford2
Ynyshir Albions0
W
26.12.25
FAW: Carmarthen Town0
Ammanford1
W
Baglan Dragons
17.03.26
FAW: Treowen4
Baglan Dragons1
L
14.03.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons0
Caerau Ely5
L
06.03.26
FAW: Newport City1
Baglan Dragons2
W
21.02.26
FAW: Pontypridd2
Baglan Dragons0
L
17.02.26
FAW: Trefelin3
Baglan Dragons0
L
14.02.26
FAW: Cardiff Draconians3
Baglan Dragons1
L
07.02.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons0
Aberystwyth1
L
24.01.26
FAW: Ynyshir Albions0
Baglan Dragons0
D
03.01.26
FAW: Llantwit Major0
Baglan Dragons0
D
26.12.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons3
Afan Lido1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Wales Cymru South fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?
Our selection is 1 — Ammanford to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Ammanford's current form?
Ammanford have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Baglan Dragons been performing recently?
Baglan Dragons have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ammanford lead with 3 wins versus Baglan Dragons's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.