WON Tip WON MC Alger 3-0 El Bayadh
M

MC Alger

Home
L W W W W
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
E
El Bayadh
Away
D L D L D
1W 6D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 9th April 2026
1
Backing MC Alger to win
MC Alger 50%
Draw 30%
El Bayadh 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — MC Alger to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
MC Alger vs El Bayadh Competition: Algeria Ligue 1 Date: Thursday, 9th April 2026 Pick: 1 (MC Alger to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 50% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
5
MC Alger
2
Draws
1
El Bayadh
8
Meetings
0.9
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip MC Alger won 5 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
MC Alger
Metric
El Bayadh
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-1-5
W — D — L
1-6-3
Win Rate
40%
10%
2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
M0
0-0 14.2%
0-1 12.1%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 15.7%
1-1 13.3%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.7%) 2-0(8.6%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
MC Alger Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
El Bayadh Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
MC Alger
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
El Bayadh
Overall
2.8
Scoring
2.0
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 27%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 29%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.12.25
Algeria Cup: MC Alger1
El Bayadh0
09.11.25
Ligue 1: El Bayadh0
MC Alger1
26.04.25
Ligue 1: MC Alger0
El Bayadh0
15.11.24
Ligue 1: El Bayadh0
MC Alger1
24.02.24
Ligue 1: El Bayadh0
MC Alger0
30.09.23
Ligue 1: MC Alger2
El Bayadh0
15.07.23
Ligue 1: MC Alger1
El Bayadh0
24.12.22
Ligue 1: El Bayadh1
MC Alger0
Recent Form
MC Alger
05.04.26
Ligue 1: JS Saoura2
MC Alger1
L
01.04.26
Ligue 1: MC Alger1
USM Alger0
W
25.03.26
Ligue 1: CR Belouizdad0
MC Alger1
W
17.03.26
Ligue 1: MC Alger2
USM Khenchela1
W
13.03.26
Ligue 1: Paradou AC0
MC Alger2
W
07.03.26
Ligue 1: ES Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
W
03.03.26
Algeria Cup: CR Belouizdad3
MC Alger2
L
26.02.26
Ligue 1: MC Alger0
JS Kabylie0
D
20.02.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
MC Alger1
L
14.02.26
Champions League: Mamelodi Sundowns2
MC Alger0
L
El Bayadh
05.04.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh1
JS Kabylie1
D
17.03.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
MC El Bayadh0
L
13.03.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh2
Olympique Akbou2
D
07.03.26
Ligue 1: ES Ben Aknoun1
MC El Bayadh0
L
27.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh0
USM Alger0
D
20.02.26
Ligue 1: CR Belouizdad0
MC El Bayadh0
D
13.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh0
ASO Chlef1
L
08.02.26
Ligue 1: ES Sétif0
MC El Bayadh0
D
04.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh2
MB Rouissat0
W
24.01.26
Ligue 1: CS Constantine1
MC El Bayadh1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, MC Alger host El Bayadh in Algeria Ligue 1. We recommend MC Alger to win as the standout selection.

MC Alger arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

El Bayadh are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 6D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour MC Alger, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to El Bayadh's 1, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: mc alger to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.25 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for MC Alger vs El Bayadh?
Our selection is 1 — MC Alger to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is MC Alger's current form?
MC Alger have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has El Bayadh been performing recently?
El Bayadh have recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
MC Alger lead with 5 wins versus El Bayadh's 1, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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