WON Tip WON PSG 3-0 Nantes
P

PSG

Home
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
N
Nantes
Away
D D D L L
1W 3D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
1
Backing PSG to win
PSG 60%
Draw 20%
Nantes 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
PSG
2
Draws
1
Nantes
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip PSG won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
PSG
Metric
Nantes
2.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
P0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
P1
1-0 12.7%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
P3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
P4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.7%) 2-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
PSG Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Nantes Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
PSG
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.7
Nantes
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.08.25L1
Nantes0
PSG1
22.04.25L1
Nantes1
PSG1
30.11.24L1
PSG1
Nantes1
17.02.24L1
Nantes0
PSG2
09.12.23L1
PSG2
Nantes1
04.03.23L1
PSG4
Nantes2
03.09.22L1
Nantes0
PSG3
31.07.22SC
PSG4
Nantes0
19.02.22L1
Nantes3
PSG1
20.11.21L1
PSG3
Nantes1
Recent Form
PSG
19.04.26L1
PSG1
Lyon2
L
14.04.26CL
Liverpool0
PSG2
W
08.04.26CL
PSG2
Liverpool0
W
03.04.26L1
PSG3
Toulouse1
W
21.03.26L1
Nice0
PSG4
W
17.03.26CL
Chelsea0
PSG3
W
11.03.26CL
PSG5
Chelsea2
W
06.03.26L1
PSG1
Monaco3
L
28.02.26L1
Le Havre0
PSG1
W
25.02.26CL
PSG2
Monaco2
D
Nantes
19.04.26L1
Nantes1
Brest1
D
11.04.26L1
Auxerre0
Nantes0
D
05.04.26L1
Metz0
Nantes0
D
22.03.26L1
Nantes2
Strasbourg3
L
07.03.26L1
Nantes0
Angers1
L
01.03.26L1
Lille1
Nantes0
L
22.02.26L1
Nantes2
Le Havre0
W
13.02.26L1
Monaco3
Nantes1
L
07.02.26L1
Nantes0
Lyon1
L
31.01.26L1
Lorient2
Nantes1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ligue 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PSG vs Nantes?
Our selection is 1 — PSG to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is PSG's current form?
PSG have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nantes been performing recently?
Nantes have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSG lead with 7 wins versus Nantes's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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