LOST Tip LOST TNS 0-2 Colwyn Bay
T

TNS

Home
W W D W W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
C
Colwyn Bay
Away
W L W L W
4W 1D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 20th March 2026
1
Backing TNS to win
TNS 50%
Draw 30%
Colwyn Bay 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -36.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — TNS to win
1.21
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
TNS vs Colwyn Bay Competition: Wales Cymru Premier Date: Friday, 20th March 2026 Pick: 1 (TNS to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 46% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
TNS
7
Draws
0
Colwyn Bay
7
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
43%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Against Tip TNS won 0 of the last 7 meetings (7 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
TNS
Metric
Colwyn Bay
0
Goals For / Game
1.3
0
Goals Against / Game
1.7
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
1.5
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
T0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 14.5%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 19.0%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 1.7%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(19.0%) 2-0(8.1%) 2-1(5.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
TNS Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Colwyn Bay Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
TNS
Overall
8.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Colwyn Bay
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
25.08.25
PL: Colwyn Bay1
The New Saints1
15.12.24
FAC: The New Saints4
Colwyn Bay1
31.10.23
PL: The New Saints6
Colwyn Bay1
29.08.23
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints1
20.03.22
FAC: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
Recent Form
TNS
14.03.26
PL: Penybont1
The New Saints2
W
03.03.26
PL: Connah’s Q.1
The New Saints2
W
28.02.26
CUP: The New Saints0
Barry2
L
20.02.26
PL: The New Saints2
Caernarfon1
W
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
W
07.02.26
PL: The New Saints6
Penybont0
W
24.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Barry0
W
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
W
06.01.26
PL: The New Saints2
Bala1
W
31.12.25
PL: Connah’s Q.3
The New Saints1
L
Colwyn Bay
14.03.26
PL: Colwyn Bay3
Barry1
W
27.02.26
PL: Caernarfon3
Colwyn Bay0
L
21.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay3
Penybont1
W
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
L
07.02.26
PL: Barry0
Colwyn Bay1
W
31.01.26
FAC: Caernarfon4
Colwyn Bay1
L
24.01.26
PL: Colwyn Bay2
Connah’s Q.2
D
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
L
01.01.26
PL: Colwyn Bay1
Flint2
L
27.12.25
PL: Caernarfon1
Colwyn Bay2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Wales Cymru Premier fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.21 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for TNS vs Colwyn Bay?
Our selection is 1 — TNS to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is TNS's current form?
TNS have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Colwyn Bay been performing recently?
Colwyn Bay have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
TNS lead with 0 wins versus Colwyn Bay's 0, with 7 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 43%.
⚠️
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