WON Tip WON FK Zorya Luhansk 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk
F

FK Zorya Luhansk

Home
L W D D L
3W 4D 3L → Steady
VS
1-2
S
Shakhtar Donetsk
Away
W D D W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
2
Backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win
FK Zorya Luhansk 30%
Draw 20%
Shakhtar Donetsk 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FK Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk Competition: Ukraine Premier League Date: Thursday, 23rd April 2026 Pick: 2 (Shakhtar Donetsk to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
1
FK Zorya Luhansk
2
Draws
7
Shakhtar Donetsk
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shakhtar Donetsk won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FK Zorya Luhansk
Metric
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
3-4-3
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 6.9%
0-3 4.2%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.7%
F1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
F2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.0%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
F3
3-0 1.8%
3-1 3.2%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
F4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.4%) 0-1(7.7%) 0-2(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FK Zorya Luhansk Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Shakhtar Donetsk Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FK Zorya Luhansk
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.09.25PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Zorya Luhansk0
09.05.25PL
Zorya Luhansk0
Shakhtar Donetsk0
10.11.24PL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
Zorya Luhansk1
30.10.24CUP
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Zorya Luhansk0
22.04.24PL
Shakhtar Donetsk2
Zorya Luhansk1
18.04.24PL
Zorya Luhansk1
Shakhtar Donetsk3
24.05.23PL
Zorya Luhansk0
Shakhtar Donetsk3
13.11.22PL
Shakhtar Donetsk2
Zorya Luhansk2
15.10.21PL
Shakhtar Donetsk6
Zorya Luhansk1
28.02.21PL
Shakhtar Donetsk0
Zorya Luhansk1
Recent Form
FK Zorya Luhansk
17.04.26PL
Dyn. Kyiv3
FK Zorya Luhansk1
L
12.04.26PL
FK Zorya Luhansk1
Epitsentr0
W
05.04.26PL
Obolon3
FK Zorya Luhansk3
D
28.03.26CF
FK Zorya Luhansk2
Kolos Kovalivka2
D
24.03.26CF
FK Zorya Luhansk2
Kudrivka4
L
15.03.26PL
Kolos Kovalivka1
FK Zorya Luhansk1
D
08.03.26PL
FK Zorya Luhansk4
SC Poltava0
W
01.03.26PL
Kryvbas3
FK Zorya Luhansk1
L
23.02.26PL
Kudrivka2
FK Zorya Luhansk2
D
13.02.26CF
FK Zorya Luhansk3
Auda0
W
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.04.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Polissya Zhytomyr0
W
16.04.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
13.04.26PL
LNZ Cherkasy2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
09.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
AZ Alkmaar0
W
05.04.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
Rukh Lviv0
W
19.03.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Lech Poznan2
L
15.03.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Metalist 19250
W
12.03.26UECL
Lech Poznan1
Shakhtar Donetsk3
W
06.03.26PL
Oleksandriya0
Shakhtar Donetsk1
W
27.02.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Veres-Rivne0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ukraine Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.32 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FK Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our selection is 2 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is FK Zorya Luhansk's current form?
FK Zorya Luhansk have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shakhtar Donetsk been performing recently?
Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FK Zorya Luhansk lead with 1 wins versus Shakhtar Donetsk's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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