WON Tip WON PSV 6-1 Zwolle
P

PSV

Home
W W L L W
6W 0D 4L → Steady
VS
6-1
Z
Zwolle
Away
D L W D D
2W 5D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
1
Backing PSV to win
PSV 50%
Draw 30%
Zwolle 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — PSV to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PSV vs Zwolle Competition: Eredivisie Date: Thursday, 23rd April 2026 Pick: 1 (PSV to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
9
PSV
0
Draws
1
Zwolle
10
Meetings
4.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip PSV won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
PSV
Metric
Zwolle
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
P0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
P1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
P2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
P3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
P4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(5.8%) 1-0(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   Z=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
PSV Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Zwolle Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
PSV
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.0
Zwolle
Overall
3.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 48%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25ERE
Zwolle0
PSV4
18.01.25ERE
Zwolle3
PSV1
26.10.24ERE
PSV6
Zwolle0
24.02.24ERE
Zwolle1
PSV7
12.11.23ERE
PSV4
Zwolle0
15.05.22ERE
Zwolle1
PSV2
16.10.21ERE
PSV3
Zwolle1
13.05.21ERE
PSV4
Zwolle2
18.10.20ERE
Zwolle0
PSV3
21.12.19ERE
PSV4
Zwolle1
Recent Form
PSV
11.04.26ERE
Sparta Rotterdam0
PSV2
W
04.04.26ERE
PSV4
Utrecht3
W
22.03.26ERE
Telstar3
PSV1
L
14.03.26ERE
PSV2
Nijmegen3
L
07.03.26ERE
PSV2
AZ Alkmaar1
W
03.03.26KNV
Nijmegen3
PSV2
L
28.02.26ERE
Heracles1
PSV3
W
21.02.26ERE
PSV3
Heerenveen1
W
13.02.26ERE
FC Volendam2
PSV1
L
08.02.26ERE
Groningen1
PSV2
W
Zwolle
12.04.26ERE
Zwolle2
Excelsior2
D
05.04.26ERE
G.A. Eagles5
Zwolle0
L
21.03.26ERE
Zwolle2
NAC Breda1
W
13.03.26ERE
Zwolle1
Groningen1
D
08.03.26ERE
Sparta Rotterdam1
Zwolle1
D
01.03.26ERE
Zwolle0
Ajax0
D
22.02.26ERE
Utrecht1
Zwolle1
D
15.02.26ERE
Heerenveen4
Zwolle2
L
07.02.26ERE
Zwolle1
FC Volendam2
L
31.01.26ERE
Zwolle4
Telstar1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Eredivisie fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.22 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PSV vs Zwolle?
Our selection is 1 — PSV to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is PSV's current form?
PSV have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zwolle been performing recently?
Zwolle have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSV lead with 9 wins versus Zwolle's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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