LOST Tip LOST Viimsi JK 2-0 Tartu Welco
V

Viimsi JK

Home
W L L W D
4W 1D 5L → Steady
VS
2-0
T
Tartu Welco
Away
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +9.4% Value detected
Kelly % 36.9% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Viimsi JK vs Tartu Welco Competition: Estonia Esiliiga Date: Thursday, 23rd April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 84% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Viimsi JK
1
Draws
2
Tartu Welco
10
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Viimsi JK
Metric
Tartu Welco
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-1-5
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
40%
60%
4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
V0
0-0 1.8%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 3.7%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 1.0%
V1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 7.2%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.7%
V2
2-0 2.7%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 5.4%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.4%
V3
3-0 1.5%
3-1 3.5%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.8%
3-5 0.8%
V4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
V5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.2%) 1-1(7.2%) 2-2(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Viimsi JK
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.0
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.10.25ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK4
18.08.25ESI
Viimsi JK3
Tartu Welco2
23.07.25ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tartu Welco1
26.04.25ESI
Tartu Welco3
Viimsi JK1
27.10.24ESI
Viimsi JK1
Tartu Welco1
10.08.24ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK3
13.07.24ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tartu Welco4
07.04.24ESI
Tartu Welco0
Viimsi JK1
19.02.22CF
Viimsi JK8
Tartu Welco1
04.10.20ESB
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK5
Recent Form
Viimsi JK
16.04.26ESI
Viimsi JK5
FC Tallinn1
W
12.04.26ESI
Viimsi JK1
Nomme Utd U213
L
03.04.26ESI
FC Elva1
Viimsi JK0
L
19.03.26ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tallinna Kalev0
W
14.03.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Viimsi JK0
D
11.03.26CUP
Trans Narva4
Viimsi JK3
L
06.03.26ESI
Viimsi JK2
Flora U211
W
20.02.26CF
Viimsi JK1
Nomme Utd5
L
15.02.26CF
Tammeka2
Viimsi JK0
L
07.02.26CF
Viimsi JK3
Levadia U211
W
Tartu Welco
17.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Levadia U212
W
11.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U211
Tartu Welco5
W
03.04.26ESI
Nomme Utd U211
Tartu Welco3
W
21.03.26ESI
Tartu Welco5
Maardu1
W
14.03.26ESI
Flora U211
Tartu Welco6
W
10.03.26CUP
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Tartu Welco1
L
05.03.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Tallinna Kalev0
W
25.02.26CF
Narva2
Tartu Welco2
D
21.02.26CF
Tartu Welco0
Metta4
L
24.01.26CF
Harju JK Laagri3
Tartu Welco0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Estonia Esiliiga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.34 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viimsi JK vs Tartu Welco?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is Viimsi JK's current form?
Viimsi JK have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tartu Welco been performing recently?
Tartu Welco have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viimsi JK lead with 7 wins versus Tartu Welco's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
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