LOST Tip LOST G.A. Eagles 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
G

G.A. Eagles

Home
D W L W L
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
0-0
A
AZ Alkmaar
Away
W D W L W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 69.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +14.6% Value detected
Kelly % 47.6% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Competition: Eredivisie Date: Thursday, 23rd April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 84% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
1
G.A. Eagles
2
Draws
7
AZ Alkmaar
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
G.A. Eagles
Metric
AZ Alkmaar
1.9
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
40%
60%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
G0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 5.6%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.5%
G1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 2.1%
1-5 0.7%
G2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
G3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
G4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.2%) 1-2(8.7%) 2-1(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
G.A. Eagles
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
AZ Alkmaar
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.12.25ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Go Ahead Eagles2
04.05.25ERE
Go Ahead Eagles0
AZ Alkmaar3
21.04.25KNV
AZ Alkmaar1
Go Ahead Eagles2
27.10.24ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Go Ahead Eagles2
12.05.24ERE
Go Ahead Eagles0
AZ Alkmaar3
13.08.23ERE
AZ Alkmaar5
Go Ahead Eagles1
25.01.23ERE
Go Ahead Eagles1
AZ Alkmaar4
07.08.22ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Go Ahead Eagles0
13.02.22ERE
Go Ahead Eagles1
AZ Alkmaar4
26.09.21ERE
AZ Alkmaar5
Go Ahead Eagles0
Recent Form
G.A. Eagles
11.04.26ERE
Groningen0
G.A. Eagles0
D
05.04.26ERE
G.A. Eagles5
Zwolle0
W
22.03.26ERE
Utrecht2
G.A. Eagles0
L
15.03.26ERE
G.A. Eagles6
NAC Breda0
W
08.03.26ERE
G.A. Eagles1
Twente4
L
01.03.26ERE
Excelsior0
G.A. Eagles1
W
22.02.26ERE
G.A. Eagles4
Heracles0
W
15.02.26ERE
Feyenoord1
G.A. Eagles0
L
11.02.26ERE
G.A. Eagles1
Heerenveen3
L
08.02.26ERE
G.A. Eagles1
Telstar1
D
AZ Alkmaar
19.04.26KNV
AZ Alkmaar5
Nijmegen1
W
16.04.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
12.04.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar3
Heerenveen0
W
09.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
AZ Alkmaar0
L
04.04.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Sittard0
W
22.03.26ERE
Groningen3
AZ Alkmaar0
L
19.03.26UECL
Sparta Prague0
AZ Alkmaar4
W
15.03.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar4
Heracles0
W
12.03.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Sparta Prague1
W
07.03.26ERE
PSV2
AZ Alkmaar1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Eredivisie fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.44 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is G.A. Eagles's current form?
G.A. Eagles have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has AZ Alkmaar been performing recently?
AZ Alkmaar have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
G.A. Eagles lead with 1 wins versus AZ Alkmaar's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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