LOST Tip LOST Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 Siauliai
K

Kauno Zalgiris

Home
D D D W W
5W 4D 1L → Steady
VS
0-0
S
Siauliai
Away
D L W W L
3W 3D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 16th May 2026
1
Backing Kauno Zalgiris to win
Kauno Zalgiris 50%
Draw 30%
Siauliai 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai Competition: Lithuania TopLyga Date: Saturday, 16th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Kauno Zalgiris to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Kauno Zalgiris
1
Draws
2
Siauliai
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kauno Zalgiris
Metric
Siauliai
2.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-4-1
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
K0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 7.2%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kauno Zalgiris Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Siauliai Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
6.2
Scoring
9.0
Defence
7.3
Siauliai
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.03.26TL
FA Siauliai0
Kauno Zalgiris5
17.10.25TL
Kauno Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai1
20.08.25TL
FA Siauliai2
Kauno Zalgiris2
23.05.25TL
Kauno Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai0
29.03.25TL
FA Siauliai2
Kauno Zalgiris3
15.09.24TL
Kauno Zalgiris2
FA Siauliai1
21.08.24CUP
Kauno Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai1
01.07.24TL
FA Siauliai1
Kauno Zalgiris0
12.05.24TL
Kauno Zalgiris2
FA Siauliai1
17.03.24TL
FA Siauliai2
Kauno Zalgiris1
Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris
10.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Kauno Zalgiris1
D
05.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris2
Dziugas Telsiai2
D
01.05.26TL
Banga2
Kauno Zalgiris2
D
28.04.26CUP
Sveikata0
Kauno Zalgiris3
W
25.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris4
Riteriai0
W
18.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris1
Transinvest2
L
11.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris5
Hegelmann0
W
05.04.26TL
Zalgiris0
Kauno Zalgiris3
W
21.03.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris1
Suduva1
D
15.03.26TL
FA Siauliai0
Kauno Zalgiris5
W
Siauliai
09.05.26TL
Hegelmann1
FA Siauliai1
D
06.05.26TL
Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai1
L
02.05.26TL
FA Siauliai2
Suduva1
W
29.04.26CUP
Jonava0
FA Siauliai4
W
26.04.26TL
FA Siauliai0
Transinvest4
L
18.04.26TL
FA Siauliai3
FK Panevezys1
W
12.04.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai1
FA Siauliai0
L
04.04.26TL
FA Siauliai0
Banga0
D
20.03.26TL
Riteriai1
FA Siauliai1
D
15.03.26TL
FA Siauliai0
Kauno Zalgiris5
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host Siauliai in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout selection.

Kauno Zalgiris arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Siauliai are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kauno Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Siauliai's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kauno zalgiris to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Lithuania TopLyga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.17 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai?
Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Siauliai been performing recently?
Siauliai have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kauno Zalgiris lead with 7 wins versus Siauliai's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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