WON Tip WON Sporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente
S

Sporting CP

Home
W W D D D
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
G
Gil Vicente
Away
L D W L D
2W 4D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 16th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +2.6% Value detected
Kelly % 8.7% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Sporting CP
3
Draws
0
Gil Vicente
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sporting CP
Metric
Gil Vicente
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.3
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-4-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
S0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.8%) 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sporting CP
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.7
Gil Vicente
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 24%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.01.26LP
Gil Vicente1
Sporting CP1
04.05.25LP
Sporting CP2
Gil Vicente1
27.02.25TP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP1
22.12.24LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP0
12.04.24LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP4
04.12.23LP
Sporting CP3
Gil Vicente1
05.04.23LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP0
30.09.22LP
Sporting CP3
Gil Vicente1
01.05.22LP
Sporting CP4
Gil Vicente1
18.12.21LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP3
Recent Form
Sporting CP
11.05.26LP
Rio Ave1
Sporting CP4
W
04.05.26LP
Sporting CP5
Vitoria Guimaraes1
W
29.04.26LP
Sporting CP2
Tondela2
D
26.04.26LP
AFS1
Sporting CP1
D
22.04.26TP
FC Porto0
Sporting CP0
D
19.04.26LP
Sporting CP1
Benfica2
L
15.04.26CL
Arsenal0
Sporting CP0
D
11.04.26LP
Estrela0
Sporting CP1
W
07.04.26CL
Sporting CP0
Arsenal1
L
03.04.26LP
Sporting CP4
Santa Clara2
W
Gil Vicente
11.05.26LP
Gil Vicente1
Arouca3
L
03.05.26LP
Rio Ave0
Gil Vicente0
D
27.04.26LP
Gil Vicente2
Casa Pia1
W
18.04.26LP
Gil Vicente0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
L
13.04.26LP
Tondela2
Gil Vicente2
D
03.04.26LP
Gil Vicente3
AFS0
W
21.03.26LP
Santa Clara1
Gil Vicente0
L
14.03.26LP
Gil Vicente2
Alverca2
D
08.03.26LP
Estrela2
Gil Vicente2
D
02.03.26LP
Gil Vicente1
Benfica2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Portugal Liga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Sporting CP's current form?
Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gil Vicente been performing recently?
Gil Vicente have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sporting CP lead with 7 wins versus Gil Vicente's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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