WON Tip WON Young Africans 6-0 Mbeya City
Y

Young Africans

Home
W W W D D
6W 4D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
6-0
M
Mbeya City
Away
L D W L L
2W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 16th April 2026
1
Backing Young Africans to win
Young Africans 60%
Draw 20%
Mbeya City 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 89.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -37.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Young Africans to win
1.12
BTTS — No65% Young Africans Clean Sheet90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Young Africans vs Mbeya City Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Thursday, 16th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Young Africans to win) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 52% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Young Africans Clean Sheet (90%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Young Africans
7
Draws
0
Mbeya City
10
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
10%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Young Africans won 3 of the last 10 meetings (7 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Young Africans
Metric
Mbeya City
1.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.1
Goals Against / Game
1.9
90%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-4-0
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
Y0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 5.3%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
Y1
1-0 17.2%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 2.6%
1-3 0.5%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
Y2
2-0 15.5%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
Y3
3-0 9.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
Y4
4-0 4.2%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
Y5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(17.2%) 2-0(15.5%) 3-0(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Y=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Young Africans Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Mbeya City Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Young Africans
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.7
Defence
9.7
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.09.25Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City0
Young Africans0
06.06.23Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City3
Young Africans3
26.11.22Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans2
Mbeya City0
25.06.22Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City1
Young Africans1
05.02.22Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans0
Mbeya City0
13.02.21Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City1
Young Africans1
13.09.20Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans1
Mbeya City0
11.02.20Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans1
Mbeya City1
24.12.19Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City0
Young Africans0
22.05.19Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans1
Mbeya City0
Recent Form
Young Africans
11.04.26Federation Cup
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
W
08.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba0
Young Africans3
W
04.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans3
Tanzania Prisons0
W
21.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar1
Young Africans1
D
18.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United0
Young Africans0
D
15.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam0
Young Africans0
D
12.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons0
Young Africans1
W
05.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars0
Young Africans3
W
01.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans0
Simba0
D
25.02.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans5
JKT Tanzania0
W
Mbeya City
12.04.26Federation Cup
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
L
09.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City0
Azam0
D
03.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City3
Kinondoni MC2
W
15.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
L
03.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City0
Fountain Gate1
L
07.02.26Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United0
Mbeya City2
W
03.02.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City1
Dodoma Jiji1
D
30.01.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City1
Pamba1
D
21.01.26Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar2
Mbeya City1
L
04.12.25Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba3
Mbeya City0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.12 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Young Africans vs Mbeya City?
Our selection is 1 — Young Africans to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Young Africans's current form?
Young Africans have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mbeya City been performing recently?
Mbeya City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Young Africans lead with 3 wins versus Mbeya City's 0, with 7 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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